Across the State
There is a lot to say about industrial real estate lately. South Carolina has recently been hit with a wave of new inventory just as demand begins to cool.
The statewide industrial availability rate is 9.5% with 11.4 million square feet of new industrial inventory and 40 million square feet currently under construction.
Two areas of heavy new supply are Charleston, S.C. and Greenville/Spartanburg.
In Spartanburg Specifically
Since 2018, Spartanburg’s industrial inventory has grown by 25%. The new supply has recently overwhelmed the existing demand.
Current industrial vacancy rates are 9.8% which is a large contrast from the 3% vacancy rate in early 2022.
Annual rent growth is currently 10.7% which is higher than historical averages and the average US industrial rent growth.
There is a large caveat to the rise in industrial vacancy rates. The vacancy rates and demand vary widely depending on the size and class of industrial buildings.
While the vacancy rates are rising for large industrial buildings, especially in the class A category, there is still a large for smaller industrial buildings.
Read about the variation in industrial vacancy for different square footages here.
The volume of industrial sq ft for sublease is at historically high levels which you can read about here. Most of the industrial buildings for sublease are larger, newer builds with leases that have been signed in the past few years.
Here’s the Data in Spartanburg, S.C.:
- The current industrial vacancy rate in Spartanburg is 9.8%.
- The average price per square foot for lease is $6.14.
- The market cap rate is 8.0%. The average industrial sale price per square foot is $66.
Industrial- What’s in store for this year?
The Q4 2023 projected vacancy rate is 10.2%. The market price per square foot for lease is projected to reach $6.33/ sq ft by the end of 2023 and the average price for sale is projected to be $64.
It will take several quarters for the Upstate to properly absorb the supply that has come into the market for large, class A buildings.
The demand for industrial buildings should persist has there has been far less supply hit the market for the small to mid sized industrial users.
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