Dear Stuart,
In August, the sales activity for detached homes on the Westside remained below the long-term average and the listing activity also was below the long term average.
Compared to the 10-year average, the supply of detached homes is at the long term average %, while apartments are up 42%, and townhomes are up 55%.
Demand, when compared to the 10-year averages, is down by 36% for detached homes, 28% for apartments and townhomes are down by 25%.
Buyers are trying to buy and housing supply appears to have peaked in July. Well priced homes are selling quickly and over priced homes are getting offers often 20% below their asking prices. Buyers are still hurting from the high interest rates even after two quarter point rate drops and many sales still fall apart due to financing.
In August, the westside Detached Home average price is down 18% from the peak in August 2023. The Apartment average price is down 3% the peak in January 2018, and the Attached Home average price is down by 7% from the peak in June 2023.
The Bank of Canada is expected to drop the rate another 1/4 point, once or maybe twice before the year end which should help buyers qualify for more mortgage debt. Each quarter point drop will save a borrower about $150 per month on a $1M mortgage.
The market has been expecting higher inventory levels since the BoC started raising rates and that along with zoning encouraging higher density has resulted in a steady rise in supply of apartments, attached and detached homes.
Demand has responded to higher interest rates by falling in all categories but the surprise has been how prices have remained steady in the face of those increasing costs & supply.
Further rate cuts if they come later this year should encourage demand but we are also further into the mortgage renewal cycle and many mortgage holders have yet to hit their renewal dates under the higher ratesβ¦.
The market often picks up in mid Sept. and we are seeing that activity start already.
Have a great fall! πβοΈπͺ΅
Best regards
Stuart
|