Welcome to edition 473 of WINC,

IDMA's Weekly Internet News Collection - May 10, 2024 

Dear IDMA Members and Industry colleagues,


This edition of the WINC – IDMA's Weekly Internet New Collection service - is packed with articles that shed light upon the assumption that the South African owner of De Beers, Anglo-American, will soon be taken over by another larger entity. There are multiple speculations about what entity that may be, but one thing is quite evident to all analysts and reporters who have written articles on the topic: De Beers will be spun off once Anglo-American changes hands.

 

Time will tell what the consequences of De Beers' changing owners will mean and what those owners will do with the company's current business model. It will all depend on the position of that buyer in the diamond supply chain. Please take some time this weekend to read up on this topic.

 

Not only our industry is experiencing a high level of uncertainty. In his latest newsletter, the veteran German luxury industry consultant and commentator Frank Müller writes: The luxury industry is in a cautious mode. First quarter results were mixed due to ongoing nervous political and economic circumstances around the world resulting in more subdued consumer moods. It is therefore important for the industry to show resilience in being proactive, creative and optimistic about its future. Trade fairs, shows, and conferences offer many opportunities to be inspired, to network, and to do business.


Frank is right, of course. The first conference that is upcoming is the Kimberley Process Intersessional which will take place in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and scheduled to take place from 13-17 May 2024 at SO/ Uptown Dubai. Ahmed Bin Sulayem, Chair of the Kimberley Process (KP) for 2024, said that his country "is leading efforts to modernize, reform, and strengthen the KP under the 'Year of Delivery' program. Our aim is to ensure its continued operation and pivotal role in facilitating global trade in conflict-free diamonds." Our President, Ronnie VandeLinden, will attend the Intersessional and report back.

 

Then, toward the end of this month, less than three weeks away, many of us will travel to Las Vegas to attend one of the shows. With temperatures already relatively high in Las Vegas, we can take the industry's temperature and get an idea of where the industry is heading toward the second half of the year and the 2024-2025 holiday season.


Have a great weekend!


Ya'akov Almor,

Communications Director

Botswana vows to protect interests in potential BHP-Anglo deal: “No way would we allow ourselves to willingly be made redundant or irrelevant,” said Masisi in a television interview with CNBC Africa. “So Botswana will respond in ways that are protective of its interests. The value of De Beers is fundamentally created by Botswana,” Masisi added. “That can never be missed by anybody.”

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SA mines minister has no legal powers over Anglo takeover: A merger or takeover of listed entities such as the one proposed between BHP and Anglo American, will not require any prior consent whatsoever from the honourable chairperson. They can go ahead and transact without his involvement. Furthermore, if any such merger or takeover does take place and certain assets and rights must be disposed of, like the South Africa operations which BHP do not seem interested in, and a section 11 consent is required for that specific disposal, the Minister cannot refuse any such disposal. He has no discretion in that regard.

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Anglo takeover saga could summon mistakes of past cycles: Anglo’s rejection of BHP’s proposal has heightened speculation that interlopers will enter the bidding for Anglo, including Rio Tinto and Glencore, or even of combined offers, according to Deutsche Bank. There may even be exotic interest for Anglo from sovereign players in Saudi Arabia or China. “The die is cast for China to come in and trump BHP’s offer with relatively little resistance from the South African authorities,” says John Meyer of SP Angel in one colourful market dispatch.

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Reasons why SA govt may give Anglo takeover favourable ear : SOUTH Africa’s government might be persuaded to wave through BHP’s $39bn bid for Anglo American despite recent animus towards the Australian firm from the country’s mines and energy minister, Gwede Mantashe. Reuters commented that BHP’s takeover, which requires the unbundling of its listed subsidies in platinum and iron ore would net South Africa about $2bn in capital gains while the government could also secure undertakings on job protection and investment.

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Momentum growing for altering G7 sanctions procedures for Russian diamonds: The current system, which mandates that all rough diamonds must be certified by the Diamond Office in Antwerp, has been in operation since 1st March for diamonds entering the EU. It is set to expand to all rough entering G7 countries by 1st September 2024.Despite a joint call from the WFDB, alongside the WDC, GJEPC, and IDMA, urging G7 governments to address concerns over the Russian diamond sanctions, official responses have been lacking. However, there are signs that the proposal is gaining traction.

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Namibian diamonds remain with Anglo American: In Namibia, De Beers recover diamonds from the country’s northern and southern coastal regions. In terms of marine diamonds, De Beers conduct marine-based diamond recovery around 90m to 150m below sea level in the Atlantic Ocean off the Namibian coast. It operates a fleet of seven vessels, capable of exploring for and retrieving diamond-bearing materials from the seabed and processing them to a diamond-rich concentrate.

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Glencore said to be weighing up Anglo bid options: Glencore was said to be preparing to enter an offer for Anglo American – a development that, if true, could set off a bidding war with BHP. Reuters reported that Glencore had held preliminary discussions, citing people familiar with the situation. BHP’s all-share takeover proposal for Anglo has been in the public realm for about nine days but no competitors for Anglo have emerged so far.

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G7 ban to exclude "grandfathered" goods

Rough diamonds imported before 1 January and polished diamonds imported before 1 March (1.0-cts or above) or 1 September (0.50-cts or above) will not be covered. A draft of the new sanctions package has been published, but is not due to be formally agreed until July.

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ALROSA says output stable amid Western sanctions

Russian diamond miner Alrosa has no plans to reduce production amid tougher Western sanctions, its chief executive Pavel Marinychev said.

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COSATU urges rejection of BHP’s Anglo takeover proposal

South Africa’s main union federation has come out against BHP’s proposed takeover of Anglo American urging the Public Investment Corporation to vote against it.

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Alrosa initiates stake sale in Catoca

Amid escalating geopolitical tensions, Russian diamond giant Alrosa has announced plans to offload its 41 percent stake in the Catoca diamond mine, situated in Angola

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Diamcor announces C$1.5m private placement

Diamcor says the proceeds will be used for the continued advancement of the company’s Krone-Endora at Venetia project, in South Africa; the work programmes that are currently under way.

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Diamond producer reaffirms focus on Chinese market

Al Cook: “For the De Beers Group, it is even more important to seize this rare opportunity, increase investment in the Chinese market, and achieve growth that synchronises with China's development.”

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GEM Diamonds shares bounce 49%

We find it intriguing that Gem Diamonds' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term.

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Rio Tinto to build Canada’s largest solar plant to power a diamond mine

The plant will cover a quarter of the electricity needs of the Diavik diamond mine by generating around 4,200 megawatt-hours of electricity annually.

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Christie's auction to showcase rare 202ct yellow diamond

The unmounted pear modified brilliant-boasts a striking fancy-intense-yellow hue and a commendable SI1 clarity. Dubbed as "The Yellow Rose," this mesmerizing diamond, exhibits a captivating medium-blue fluorescence.

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ZAAC: We can’t trace Mugabe’s U$15b diamonds

The Zimbabwe Anti-Corruption Commission says it was sent on a wild goose chase to trace the US$15 billion stolen diamonds as alleged by the late former President Robert Mugabe.

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Belgian king sidesteps Mbumba’s call to lift ban on Russian diamonds

Mbumba on Tuesday told the king the ban would be detrimental to Namibia’s diamond trade and would have a negative economic impact on African diamond-producing countries.

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Is Lesotho a serious mining destination?

This Southern African enclave with a total area of 30,355km2 has in the past and most importantly in later years gone on to prove itself as a big player in the global mining industry.

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Opsydia names Jacqui Larsson Sales and Marketing Director

Larsson, a member of the London Diamond Bourse council of management and a fellow of Gem-A, has nearly two decades of experience in the diamond, gemstone, and jewelry industries.

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Watches of Switzerland bolsters portfolio with Roberto Coin deal

 

Roberto Coin will continue to operate as an independent, standalone company within the Watches of Switzerland stable and the founding Coin family will retain a seat on the firm’s board. P

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JBT elects new chairman

The Jewelers Board of Trade held its annual board elections earlier this year, naming a new chairman and welcoming new and returning officers and directors. Brian D. Fleming, treasurer and executive vice president of Carla Corporation, was elected to serve a one-year term as board chairman. Fleming joined JBT’s board of directors in 1999.

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Podcast

Is the Kimberley Process broken? The Kimberley Process (KP) should focus on becoming more transparent, according to conflict-diamond expert Hans Merket. Confidentiality rules allow governments to block decisions and discussions without giving a reason, noted Merket, a researcher at the Antwerp-based International Peace Information Service (IPIS), which is a member of the KP Civil Society Coalition.

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Long read

Russia, Angola economic relations rising to unprecedented high levels: Despite consistent assurances made by high-ranking Russian officials that Africa is “in the mainstream of Russia’s foreign policy” have not been substantiated by systematic noticeable completed projects, and worse serious lack of financial support for bilateral agreements, and this has necessitated the pulling out of a number of Russian companies from Africa.

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Colored diamonds

Why rare colored diamonds dominated at this month’s jewelry auctions: In Geneva, sales at the three auction houses totaled $145,934,377, including $77,703,074 at Christie’s Magnificent Jewels; $46,531,921 at Sotheby’s Magnificent and Noble Jewels; and $21,699,382 at Phillips inaugural Geneva Jewels Watch Auction: One. At the Christie’s sale, the “important” diamonds and gemstones represented more than half the value of all lots combined.

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About LGDs

Lab-diamonds just won a battle, not the war: After a brief surge in diamond Lab-jewellery demand during the pandemic, diamond miners are now grappling with an oversupply that is forcing them to reduce the excess inventory. Unlike miners, companies tied to man-made stones have reported positive results. A case in point is Pandora, the world’s largest jewellery maker by production volume, which earlier this month raised its full-year revenue guidance after beating first quarter sales and profit forecasts.

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From the World Diamond Council

Wafa Jaffery, Senior Executive-Precious Stones at the Dubai Multi-Commodities Center (DMCC) in the United Arab Emirates: "As a proud native of Dubai, with Pakistani roots, my personal identity is deeply intertwined with the city’s rich tapestry of cultures. It’s a blend of which I profoundly feel part of. Unlike many of my peers, I did not inherit a legacy in the diamond trade, nor did I hail from a family steeped in the traditions of diamantaires. Instead, my pathway into the heart of the diamond industry began as a quest for personal and professional fulfillment. It became a journey marked by grit, passion, and a relentless pursuit of success."

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DISCLAIMER: IDMA's Weekly Internet/Online News Collection (WINC) features third-party articles and links to these articles. IDMA presents these news items for reference only. The content of these articles neither reflects nor expresses IDMA's position or point of view.