Normally the first few months of the year following holiday season sales are a quiet time for the sword industry. However as with almost every aspect of life, 2021 is bucking the usual trend and has seen not only a continuation of unusually strong sword sales after the end of the holiday season but has even seen a marked increase!
In other years, this would have been an amazing boon to the sword industry - but as is often the case with the sword industry, luck is not on it's side..
Sword production ground to a complete halt early in the pandemic and it took quite a few months to even begin to recover to pre-Covid levels. But in the middle of restructuring and re-tooling, many forges and smiths having already moved on or closed their doors, almost every forge began to receive unprecedented order volumes from their US based distributors and sword importers.
Combine this with the overall trend towards ordering stuff online and what we are seeing now is a total bottleneck - with the forges struggling to keep up with orders, and many container loads of swords unable to unload as imports reach levels that the dockies have never witnessed before.. (thankfully no swords were stuck in the Suez-Canal incident. however, it will almost certainly have an impact as goods deemed higher priority will push back shipment availability to never before seen levels.
details exactly how bad the problem is for almost any US based importer..
In short, what this means is that most sword sellers are about to run dry!
In the next few months many if not all of your favorite sword suppliers will probably run out of stock for around 1-3 months, creating something of a 'sword vacuum'. And there is a fairly good chance that if lock-downs and movement restrictions ease up as the pandemic (hopefully) is relegated to the annals of history, we could well see the opposite problem - with too many swords, leading to a boom and bust situation.
Only time will tell exactly how all this will play out. But there is some irony that when this niche industry that has struggled and puttered along for years finally catches a break, it is not able to keep up with the demand and will miss it's golden opportunity (and quite possibly end up with a glut that is great for sword buyers in the short term, but will really hurt the industry long term).
Either way, we will try to keep you posted how it all plays out - as no doubt astute sword buyers will and should seize on any good buying opportunities that arise - and if there is a glut on the horizon, bargain basement selloffs are likely on the cards in the not too distant future too..