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PDF | Research | Week of March 25 2024

Quote of the Week

“There is some validation by the Fed that the economy is strong enough that

they don’t need to cut.”

– Brad McMillan, chief investment officer, Commonwealth Financial Network.

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The New Order: Leverage Finance in an Asset Management World (Second of a Series)

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The New Order: Leverage Finance in an Asset Management World (Last of a Series)

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While private credit is growing in popularity with both investors and issuers, banks are seen to be struggling with the new order. While arguing for more non-bank regulation to Congress and federal agencies, they are busy trying to start their own direct lending businesses or partnering with established firms.


Given the challenges of holding leveraged loans on their balance sheets, some banks are shifting their strategies to less leveraged, more amortizing so-called pro rata, term loan A offerings. This hearkens back to the 1970s and 1980s before the institutionalization of loans and the crafting of non-amortizing, term loan Bs for CLO, retail, and insurance buyers.


One example is a top US money-center bank focusing its direct lending efforts on middle market non-sponsored borrowers. Debt-to-Ebitda is kept below 4x (under regulators’ radar), and with spreads at least 1% lower than market for LBO financings. These companies are found in manufacturing and industrials as well as service sectors...

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Chart of the Week

Stepping Down

Private borrower covenant (not payment) default rates fell for third straight quarter. 

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Source: Lincoln International Proprietary Private Market Database

(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Ryan Brown / PitchBook LCD

PDI Picks

Volatile times, but no distressed boom

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Capital raising for distressed and special situations strategies has remained at modest levels since hitting a peak in 2019.

Fundraising for distressed and special situations strategies has remained remarkably consistent, even as the long-term effects of the covid pandemic, rising inflation, war in eastern Europe and the continuing fear of a major recession led to a period of severe volatility and economic upheaval...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

BDC assets under management reach a new high of US$315bn

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BDC assets under management (AUM) reached a new high of US$315bn at the end of 2023. The new record represented a 4% increase during 4Q23 and a 15% gain over the course of the year...

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Contact: CJ Doherty / LSEG

The Pulse of Private Equity

Introducing LCD’s dual-track default rate: Sponsors drive distressed exchanges

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In tandem with LCD’s legacy criteria capturing general defaults of missed payments and bankruptcy filings, LCD is now tracking a separate rate that includes distressed transactions stemming from out-of-court restructurings, exchanges, and subpar buybacks, or so-called “distressed exchanges.”...

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Contact: Garrett Black / PitchBook

KBRA Direct Lending Deals: News & Analysis

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TTM Default Volume, Count

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Contact: Eric Rosenthal / KBRA DLD

Middle Market & Private Credit

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What Investors Want to Know: Middle Market CLO Manager Assessment Considerations

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Given the increased interest and overall expansion of the private credit sector, Fitch Ratings highlights key elements of its assessment of the capabilities of middle market (MM) CLO managers that are different (due to relevance) from that of a broadly syndicated loan (BSL) CLO manager...

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Contact: Brad Hamner / FitchRatings

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of New Issue First Lien Loans that Cleared with a J. Crew Trapdoor

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

Launched Volume

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New-issue Yields

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Weekly Fund Flows

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper

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Contact: Robert Polenberg / LevFin Insights

Debtwire Middle-Market

Healthcare is generating significant numbers of restructuring cases


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A guide to distress in healthcare


The US healthcare sector has been beset by malaise in recent months, with the number of restructuring cases lurching to 49 in 2023 from 23 the previous year. Prospects show little sign of improving in 2024, with a dozen Chapter 11 cases already on the table since 1 January, representing USD 3bn of liabilities...

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Contact: Elena Shutova / Debtwire 

Private Debt Intelligence

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North American-based private debt AUM hits $1tn

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Private debt in North America has overtaken real estate in 2023 to become the second largest private capital asset class by assets under management (AUM), topping $1tn for the first time. AUM grew 18% in H1 2023, faster than private equity (13%), and private capital markets overall (11%)...

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Contact: William Bennett-Lynch Preqin

March Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.