The devil is in the details:
Future sellers are saying, "property values are going up so why make plans for my future now?" Complacency is a dangerously thoughtless business. It's true that too many buyers are chasing too few listings and paying a dear price at higher interest rates. Meanwhile entry level buyers find almost all housing purchases to be unaffordable. Tax breaks for home owners, mortgages and property taxes as well as income are not meeting the rise in costs of owning a home. Trepidation is the "soup du Jour," for many who have not been able to take advantage of stock benefits and high salaries.
But have a look Santa Clara counties assessor
Larry Stone's, annual report. The details there bode the future and the disparity between richer and poorer.
- A record $4.7B in property value losses countywide- 19,325 properties as compared to 2022 2595 properties have declined in value.
- Commerical and industrial real estate development continued in a downward trend.
- Soaring prices and rising interest rates wiped out gains and wages and eroded consumer confidence presenting challenges to the economy.
- New home construction continues to be a bright spot in housing, despite high interest rates. Sales in September came in at an annual rate of 759,000; well above expectations and the best reading since February 2022.
- Sellers with low interest rates are refusing to upgrade to take on high interest rates further decreasing inventory.
- California has accumulated an unmet housing backlog of nearly 2,000,000 units and must provide for at least 180,000 new units annually to keep pace with growth through 2025.
And from Elliot Eisenberg
- Total disposable income is lower - falling for 3 years, down by a trillion dollars only shored by excess Covid savings which are now depleting.
- China and Europe's growth is weakening.
- Much of the world, Gaza, Ukraine, Syria are in dire crisis.
- GDP staying high and increases in US bonds with diminished interest from investors for purchasing...keeping interest rates high.
- In the near future housing sales will not worsen despite housing sales out of sync with the recession.