PDF | Research |Week of Sep 12, 2022

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Quote of the Week

Borrowers are particularly vulnerable to the double

whammy of weaker earnings and rising interest rates.

– Srikanth Sankaran, head of US and European credit, Morgan Stanley.

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Private Credit:

A League of Its Own



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Private Credit in an Age of Scarcity

(First of a Series)

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Our keynote address at this week’s SuperReturn US Private Credit conference allowed us to share a reconsideration of the impact of rate hikes and quantitative tightening on capital markets and private credit. This special series will further develop that thesis.


For over a decade, including through Covid, the tide of capital has flowed mostly in one direction: into markets. That’s because since the Great Recession the Fed has kept interest rates low. Public credit, both loans and bonds, benefited from this support.


Private capital, particularly credit, has also enjoyed a one-way stream. With interest rates low, investors sought higher yielding investments while still retaining low risk. Private equity sponsors obliged by working closely with their relationship direct lenders to put their own LP money to work with a burgeoning pipeline of buyout financings...

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Chart of the Week

Slowmentum

High-yield issuance down to a crawl amid Fed’s rate uplift and recession fears.

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Source: Leveraged Commentary & Data (LCD)

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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PDI Picks

Ups and downs in the US

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Some of the key talking points from our recent roundtable...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

BDC share price-to-book value

remains above recent lows

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BDC share price-to-book values have bounced around recently, impacted by shifting investor sentiment. The average share price-to-book value is at 0.91x as of September 9, down from 0.95x in mid-August but is still up from a recent low of 0.80x in June...

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Contact: CJ Doherty / Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

Dealmaking steady, fundraising slows

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PitchBook’s Q2 2022 US PE Middle Market Report is now available. All things considered, dealmaking was stout in H1. Over 1,600 transactions were finished, with $228.2 billion invested in the process. Both figures are strong relative to prior years, except 2021...

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Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

Covenant Trends 

Percentage of First-Lien Loans Clearing

with Key Covenant Terms by Quarter

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Download Data

Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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Private Debt Intelligence

Private debt cements place in

European investor portfolios

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Actual allocations to private debt have moved closer to their targets in European investor portfolios since Q2 2015, reducing the gap from 3.6% of AUM to just 1.7% in 2022, with actual allocations standing at 3.3% against a target of 5.0%...

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Contact: Valerie Kor / Preqin 

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Source: Cliffwater Direct Lending Index and BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield

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Contact: Hema Oza / Debtwire 

September Update: Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.