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The markets hit all-time highs last week after the S&P 500 continued its winning streak to seven days, the longest since July. All 3 major indexes climbed between 1% to 2% for the week with both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones eclipsing previous highs set 2 months ago while the Nasdaq sits just 2% below the high. Stocks have gained nearly 6% this month as they continue to bounce back from the 5% pullback some 6 weeks ago.
While still in the early stages of earnings season, the outlook remains strong as the numbers are showing a solid start. As of Friday, third-quarter net income was expected to increase by 33% compared with the same period last year, based on those who have already reported combined with projections of those yet to release their earnings. According to FactSet this would be the highest since the bond market bust back in 2008/2009. This sentiment continues to fuel the short-term positive outlook for the markets.
The Federal Reserve gave some indication this week it would begin reducing its bond purchases soon, which was expected. This decrease will take some liquidity out of the bond markets but should not materially change the direction of the markets, at least at this time. This action will not affect their timing of raising interest rates yet because employment levels are still too low and though inflation has creeped up, they believe it will temper by the first quarter of 2022.
Price Week Year-to-Date
Dow Jones Average 35,677 1.1% 16.6%
S&P 500 4,545 1.6% 21.0%
NASDAQ 15,090 1.3% 17.1%
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