IS RUSSIA THE GREATEST MILITARY POWER TODAY?


By David K. Lifschultz


Compliments of The Lifschultz Organization, Founded in 1899

Mikhail KHMELKO. Triumph of the Conquering People. 1949 Oil on canvas. Tretyakov Gallery

The 2018 analysis that is shown below in the next link is rather dated focusing on the supposed Russian weaknesses. 


https://www.19fortyfive.com/2024/06/how-the-battle-of-khasham-fueled-russias-nuclear-war-threats-in-ukraine/


The war of Armenia with Azerbaijan in 2020 where drones essentially knocked out all the Armenian tanks was revolutionary. What amazed me most about this was that Russia did not seem to have studied this and were not prepared for the Ukrainian use of drone warfare in 2022. The Russian military leaders as Sergei Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov were asleep at the switch. It has enormously eroded the value of tanks. This has been corrected by the advances in electronic warfare by Russia which is superior to that of the US and NATO. In fact, Russia was supposed to have had a million man army but sent in only about 70,000 troops to face 400,000 Ukrainian troops trained by NATO in 2022. I do not believe that Russia had over a million troops as advertised then but much less. Their ground forces were quite insufficient for a major war. Yet using the snail offensive-mincing machine techniques the Russians have excelled in attrition warfare on the Ukraine front even from the beginning.


What Russian then did was use their advanced artillery on the NATO built Maginot Line in the Eastern Ukraine (actually historically part of Russia and consisting of Russian people), and was superior to the Maginot Line, and in a snail offensive gradually destroyed the entire Ukrainian defensive system suffering losses at about one Russian for ten Ukrainians. In a war of attrition the Russians were slowly grinding down the Ukrainian Army which continues to this day. The dead Ukrainian troops are estimated at 500,000 troops and Russia's at 50,000. See footnote one.


That war of attrition is gradually accelerating while the Russians have rebuilt their forces to about 1.5 million troops and modernized their electronic warfare which are now very effective against drones, and their offensive missiles built up from the massive technological base built from 1999 on their defensive missiles which are the greatest in the world. It was the US 1999 bombing of defenseless Belgrade, Serbia for 78 days against three days for Adolf Hitler that finally woke Russia up.  The S-500 defensive missile carries ten interceptors, travels at a speed of 15,480 miles an hour, rising to 115 miles and traveling up to 2,174 miles. They are reputed to have developed the S-600 and S-700 according to Israeli intel discussed in the next link and sealed their airspace.  


Liberman: Israel would destroy Syrian S-300 if it attacked our jets


Liberman: Israel would destroy Syrian S-300 if it attacked our jets

As Russia threatens to sell powerful air defense system to Assad, defense minister downplays reports, stresses t..


These missiles created a shield that allows Russia to be able to win a nuclear war as their air space is sealed ending MAD.  The question now is whether drones will be created to carry nuclear weapons to nullify the Russian defensive capacity. This may be the reason that Russia is talking about the use of nuclear weapons before their S-700 defensive missiles can be penetrated by nuclear bombing drones as Russia can now win a nuclear war.


The key to the warfare analysis of the so-called superior US air power is based on the simple fact that you cannot fly the F-35 from the United States to Europe for a battle but you have to have air fields in Europe or nearby for the US F-35 to be effective forgetting about the Erik Prince analysis that the plane is relatively inferior.. In a NATO war against Russia NATO will lose hands down even if only conventional weapons are used as every air field in the first hours of the war in Europe and England would be destroyed by Russian hypersonic missiles. The problem of the Ukraine is that it is so primitive that it hardly has any targets. NATO would then have no air power. Europe could not be resupplied as all their ports will be destroyed. One Russian submarine can knock out all British electrical power turning it back to the stone age as can be done with the rest of Europe. The US defensive missiles are relatively worthless.


As Israeli intel has stated Russia can knock out all of the British power system with missiles (zircons) launched from a conventional submarine. Though the headline below uses the word nukes Israeli intel Yakov Kedmi says only conventional weapons are required. Fifty or sixty power stations will be knocked out returning Britain to the stone age in ten minutes. Similarly, all of the French nuclear power generation for electricity would be similarly gone in such an attack. Ditto for all of Europe.


Russia says Britain should be nuked ‘back to the stone age’

Aleksandr Deyneka. The Defense of Sevastopol (1942)

DKL Addendum:
I do not have anything to add to what I wrote below and before as I consider it complete but I will add some new information. The CIA Russian expert Ray McGovern, retired, says that the US system of satellites in space can tell almost from the moment an ICBM is launched from Russia that it is in air but the Russians are not as advanced as the US in their satellite surveillance systems. This means that the time available for launching a Russian retaliatory nuclear strike that is a means of deterrence is not on the level of the US and it is shrinking the closer the US gets to Russia such as having missile launchers in Poland and Romania though these are allegedly defensive systems according to the United States for an Iranian attack which is absurd. He then goes into the shrinking time of warning for the Russians versus the US would be even worse if the US took control of the Ukraine through their agents so as to place the US offensive nuclear missiles on the border with Russia itself if the US manages to occupy the Eastern Ukraine through their agents as Secretary of State Blinken says the US has a right to do.  This means that Russia could conceivably be destroyed before the Russian retaliatory nuclear missiles are in the air as it would have less than five minutes to make a decision for the missile take off.  In other words, we could then be a hair trigger away from a nuclear war. Now if the US missiles in Poland and Romania are offensive, nuclear bomb carrying hypersonic missiles the time for response is reduced even more much less if the hypersonic US missiles are placed on the eastern Ukraine border with Russia.  A further deduction that McGovern makes is that this could force the Russians today to launch before they have a totally accurate appraisal of what is going on. And the nuclear saber rattling of the Russians has this as their cause reflected by the Russian nuclear Armada approaching Cuba as in the Cuban missile crisis.  In other words, they are responding to our saber rattling.
US Military Expert responds:
Even so, ballistic submarines will remain a threat so MAD deterrence remains in place and defense against submarine launched missiles is tricky because the flight time can be very, very short depending on where the submarine is located relative to the target. I think the threat of a general nuclear war between serious nuclear powers is low because no one wants an extinction event. That may not be true in the case of Iran.
Here is the McGovern interview:
Ray McGovern on Scott Ritter and Russia is Flashing Red, NATO needs to take notice