Eagle Hill Discussion Forum
Can Mexico's new president address mounting US concerns about drugs and refugees—concerns that could determine the US presidential race?
with Alan Riding
Thursday, October 10, 2024,
at 5 PM, US Eastern Time (ET)
For the best part of 70 years, the US could ignore Mexico in the knowledge that its one-party system would insure stability. Then, in 2000, this “perfect dictatorship” ended in an electoral defeat, bringing instability in the form of intense drug-related violence and tidal waves of immigrants from across the world trying to reach the US through Mexico. Six years ago, a leftist populist, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, became president under the banner of a new nationalist party, known as Morena, which he sought to model on the old PRI, or Institutional Revolutionary Party. On October 1, his hand-picked successor, Claudia Sheinbaum, took office, pledging to continue her mentor’s controversial policies. Looking ahead, Washington can probably ignore the erosion of democracy in Mexico, but whoever wins the White House on November 5 will have to address the double border crisis of drugs and refugees. How President Sheinbaum responds to US pressure will determine the state of bilateral relations for the next six years. And how these and other issues such as bilateral trade are handled will unavoidably influence the outcome of next month’s and future US presidential elections.
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