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PDF | Research | Week of Mar 13, 2023

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March 29, 2023 | Convene, 1221 Avenue of the Americas, New York

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Quote of the Week

We’ve always said the one thing that could derail

the Fed’s tightening would be a financial crisis.

– Diane Swonk, chief economist, KPMG.

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Market Glasses Half Full

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A Pause to Reflect

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Many of us who lived through the financial crisis of 2008-2009 had flashbacks to that era. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank also raised concerns about the underlying health of bank balance sheets, particularly for the smaller firms.


We were reminded of how customer confidence is everything for depository institutions. Banks exist because depositors have faith their money is safe. Financial assumptions are made that only a fraction of them will want to withdraw cash at any one time. When that changes no bank, including JP Morgan Chase, can withstand everyone lining up at the teller window.


Some argue about moral hazard and the Fed rescuing mismanaged companies. But the drop regional bank stock prices took even with the full support of the Fed pointed to the potential damage the financial system would have suffered had there been anything short of a backstop...

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April 27-28, 2023 | The Diplomat Resort, Fort Lauderdale, FL

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Chart of the Week

Curves Ahead

Last week’s bank failures steepened the Treasury curve to levels not seen since 9/11.

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Source: The Daily Shot

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Stat of the Week

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Loan Stats at a Glance 

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Contact: Marina Lukatsky / S&P Global Market Intelligence

PDI Picks

Reflections on distress

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Looking back on capital accumulation in recent years, investor anticipation of distressed debt opportunities grew – sometimes without reason...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis

SVB was a major player in

US middle market technology lending

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Silicon Valley Bank, the fifth largest lender to US middle market technology issuers, collapsed last week. According to Refinitiv LPC data, between 2020 and 2022, SVB agented 35 US middle market technology loans...

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Contact: David Puchowski/ Refinitiv LPC

The Pulse of Private Equity

Middle-market above pre-Covid levels

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Middle-market activity came in at $443.8 billion in 2023, according to PitchBook’s just-released US PE Middle Market Report. That represents a 26% decline from 2021 levels, while deal flow declined by a smaller...

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Contact: Alex Lykken / PitchBook

Covenant Trends 

Accordion Inside Maturity

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Contact: Steven Miller / Covenant Review

High-Yield Bond Statistics

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Weekly fund flows source: Lipper
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DL Deals: News & Analysis

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Jumbo outstandings climb to $118B

with Cotiviti’s new record deal

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Cotiviti’s $5.5 billion credit raises outstanding jumbo loan volume to $118 billion, as tracked by KBRA DLD. That figure includes incremental debt for existing jumbo issuers, defined as those with private loans...

Contact: Kelly Thompson /Direct Lending Deals

Private Debt Intelligence

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Rising investor interest in special

situations and distressed debt

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An increasing proportion of investors surveyed by Preqin say special situations and distressed present the best opportunities in private debt. According to Preqin’s latest Investor Outlook survey, 64% of investors...

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Contact: Valerie Kor / Preqin

Debtwire Middle-Market

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Source: Cliffwater Direct Lending Index and BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Effective Yield

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Contact: Hema Oza / Debtwire 

Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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Contact: Stefan Shaffer / SPP Capital Partners

Select Deals in the Market

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This publication is a service to our clients and friends. It is designed only to give general information on the market developments actually covered. It is not intended to be a comprehensive summary of recent developments or to suggest parameters for any prospective financing opportunity.